
Hamas wins in a landslide.
Slice:
"It is obvious that the EU would never countenance funding a regime that continued an armed fight against Israel," said Ignasi Guardans, a Spanish member of the European Parliament. "But we cannot push for democracy and then deny the result of free and fair elections."
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President Bush said this morning that he hailed the free elections in the Palestinian territories, but will not work with Hamas unless it renounces its pledge to destroy Israel. Is that hypocrisy?
No.
Just because we advocate democracy, we are not obligated to work with any elected government. If the Palestinians choose to elect terrorists (which wasn't their intention, their intention was to oppose corruption in Fatah and support the social services Hamas provides), there's no reason the Americans, the Israelis, or anyone is obligated to work with the terrorists. Recognizing the legitimate government of Palestine does not require one to work with them. Indeed, democracies can and do negotiate by not negotiating, it's a legitimate political means. The most positive outcome of this election is that now Hamas is in power, the pro-Palestinian international Left will have to confront them, and confront the fact that Palestinians are making their own bed to lie in. Finally.
The Palestinians will suffer if Hamas does not moderate. And Hamas will suffer. Israel will remain status quo and will even earn the sympathies of those who perhaps were on the fence before. Another upside is with Hamas in power, they will no longer need to be "controlled" by the PA, which may decrease the threat of civil war among Palestinians...they will have to "control" themselves if they don't want to be isolated internationally. And they won't want to be isolated. As evidenced by their participation in elections, and with Hamas having already agreed to a largely observed cease-fire with Israel, I think they'll go pragmatic.
Slice:
The election victory has added new incentive for Hamas to maintain its current cease-fire with Israel. It has no interest in provoking the Israelis, because it is now determined to carry out its promises to the Palestinian electorate — promises which are very much based on local concerns over corruption and lawlessness. Before the election, many commentators had asked whether Hamas entering parliament with a minority share in power would create pressure for the movement to disarm. Now, the situation is turned on its head: Hamas will appoint its own people to run the Palestinian security services, and will make sure that many of its own militants are now drawn in to those forces. And they will have an interest in clamping down hard on violations of law and order by armed groups. It will likely instruct its own supporters to stop bearing arms in public, and it will expect the same from Fatah.
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What's the biggest fear among Israelis? That Hamas will unleash its military might upon them? Hasn't Hamas already tried that?
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